Mariners vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 4

Mariners vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 4

As the Seattle Mariners face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday at 4:10 p.m. ET, fans are eagerly anticipating the matchup with Bailey Falter starting for the Pirates. The Mariners enter this game as the favorites with a moneyline of -187, while the Pirates are the underdogs at +156. Seattle is also favored on the run line at -1.5. The over/under for the game is set at 7 runs, with the odds for the over at -125 and the under at +105.

Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, July 4, 2025 at 4:10 p. exclusive promotionsm. ET
Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
How to watch on TV: ROOT Sports NW and SportsNet PT

Betting Odds Overview

Favorite Moneyline: Mariners -187
Underdog Moneyline: Pirates +156
Total: 7
Over Total Odds: -125
Under Total Odds: +105
Run Line Favorite: Mariners -1. betso88 how to unlock promotion5 (+120)
Underdog Run Line Odds: Pirates +1.5 (-142)

Prediction

Score Prediction: Mariners 4, Pirates 3
Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
Win Probabilities: Mariners 53%, Pirates 47%

Betting Insights

This season, the Mariners have been favored 56 times, securing victory in 30 of those games—an impressive 53.6% win rate. They have gone 3-3 this year when favored by -187 or more on the moneyline. pagcor online bingo gcash Sportsbooks indicate that the Mariners have a 65.2% chance of winning this matchup based on the moneyline.

On the other hand, the Pirates have been underdogs in 60 games this season, winning 25 of them for a 41.7% success rate. They carry a 5-12 record this year when valued at +156 or worse by sportsbooks, indicating a 39.1% chance of winning in this game.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

The Mariners have gone 4-3 over their last seven games as a moneyline favorite. In their recent ten outings—including games that had a set run total—they have combined with opponents to surpass the total six times. However, their ATS record is currently 2-8-0 over the past ten games.

Recent Stats

Record: 5-5
Runs Per Game: 3.6
Home Runs: 9
ERA: 3.44
K/9: 7.7

Mariners Player Insights

Cal Raleigh leads the Mariners with 33 home runs and 71 RBIs this season, ranking first across the majors in homers and second in RBIs. Julio Rodriguez has a batting average of .252, contributing 12 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs, and 23 walks, while Randy Arozarena offers a batting average of .248 with 20 doubles and 12 home runs. J.P. Crawford, hitting .285, has secured at least one hit in his last five games, batting .364 during that span.

Player Props

• Randy Arozarena: Hits O/U 0.5 (-235), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+115), RBI O/U 0.5 (+150)
• J.P. Crawford: Hits O/U 0.5 (-225), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+135), RBI O/U 0.5 (+245)
• Cal Raleigh: Hits O/U 0.5 (-220), Total Bases O/U 1 bet online philippines.5 (+100), RBI O/U 0.5 (+120)
• Julio Rodríguez: Hits O/U 1.5 (+160), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (-110), RBI O/U 0.5 (+170)

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates have been underdogs in six of their last ten games, winning five. In those same ten games, they have failed to hit the over four times. Their ATS record stands at 7-3-0 in the past ten games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Record: 8-2
Runs Per Game: 6.1
Home Runs: 8
ERA: 2.25
K/9: 7.4

Pirates Player Insights

Oneil Cruz has launched a team-high 15 home runs, ranking 35th in the majors. Bryan Reynolds leads with 45 RBIs and is positioned 96th in home runs. Andrew McCutchen is the best hitter on the team, boasting an average of 11 vipph login register.269, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a batting average of .277 this season.

Player Props

• Bryan Reynolds: Hits O/U 0.5 (-215), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+140), RBI O/U 0.5 (+215)
• Spencer Horwitz: Hits O/U 0.5 (-180), RBI O/U 0.5 (+245)

What are your thoughts on the Mariners and Pirates matchup? Will the Mariners continue their winning ways, or can the Pirates pull off an upset?